Derby County
Watford
Derby County vs Watford Prediction
Our statistical model tips Derby County to win in English Football League Championship on Saturday, 28 November 2026, giving Derby County a 46% win chance, the draw 27% and Watford 27%. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with projected expected goals of 1.44-1.01. Over 2.5 goals is rated 44% and both teams to score 49%. Derby County come in on WLLDL form, Watford on DWLLW.
Match result probability (1X2)
Key predictions
Form & ratings
Most likely scorelines
- 1-113%
- 1-012%
- 0-09%
Head-to-head
- 21 Feb 2026 Watford 2–0 Derby County
- 22 Nov 2025 Derby County 2–3 Watford
- 18 Jan 2025 Derby County 0–2 Watford
- 24 Aug 2024 Watford 2–1 Derby County
- 19 Feb 2021 Watford 2–1 Derby County
English Football League Championship Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Derby County | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -16 | 10 |
| 20 | Watford | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -10 | 15 |
Derby County vs Watford — prediction FAQ
Who will win Derby County vs Watford?
Our model makes Derby County the pick, with 46% for Derby County, 27% for the draw and 27% for Watford.
What is the predicted score for Derby County vs Watford?
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%), from projected expected goals of 1.44-1.01.
Will both teams score in Derby County vs Watford?
Both teams to score is rated 49% likely, and over 2.5 goals 44%.
What is the head-to-head record for Derby County vs Watford?
In 28 previous meetings, Derby County have won 11, Watford 12, and 5 ended level.
Where do Derby County and Watford sit in the English Football League Championship table?
Derby County are 23rd with 10 points and Watford are 20th with 15 points.
Predictions are generated by SportScore's statistical model for information and entertainment only — not betting advice. 18+.