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UEFA Champions League · Wednesday, 09 December 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Arsenal Arsenal
vs
Real Madrid Real Madrid
AI prediction
Arsenal to win
Win probability: 67% · fair odds 1.49

Arsenal vs Real Madrid Prediction

Our statistical model tips Arsenal to win in UEFA Champions League on Wednesday, 09 December 2026, giving Arsenal a 67% win chance, the draw 19% and Real Madrid 14%. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, with projected expected goals of 2.15-0.86. Over 2.5 goals is rated 58% and both teams to score 51%. Arsenal come in on WWWDW form, Real Madrid on WWWWW.

Match result probability (1X2)

67%
19%
14%
Arsenal win Draw Real Madrid win

Key predictions

2-0
Likely score (11%)
2.15–0.86
Expected goals
58%
Over 2.5 goals
51%
Both teams score

Form & ratings

Arsenal
WWWDW
Attack Elite · Defence Elite
Scored 7 · Conceded 2
vs
Real Madrid
WWWWW
Attack Elite · Defence Strong
Scored 15 · Conceded 4

Most likely scorelines

  • 2-011%
  • 1-010%
  • 2-110%

Head-to-head

4 Arsenal 1 Draws 1 Real Madrid
67%
17%
16%
These two have met 6 times.

More on this matchup

Arsenal vs Real Madrid — prediction FAQ

Who will win Arsenal vs Real Madrid?

Our model makes Arsenal the pick, with 67% for Arsenal, 19% for the draw and 14% for Real Madrid.

What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs Real Madrid?

The most likely scoreline is 2-0 (11%), from projected expected goals of 2.15-0.86.

Will both teams score in Arsenal vs Real Madrid?

Both teams to score is rated 51% likely, and over 2.5 goals 58%.

What is the head-to-head record for Arsenal vs Real Madrid?

In 6 previous meetings, Arsenal have won 4, Real Madrid 1, and 1 ended level.

Predictions are generated by SportScore's statistical model for information and entertainment only — not betting advice. 18+.