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Italian Serie A · Saturday, 05 December 2026 · 19:45 UTC
Napoli Napoli
vs
Lecce Lecce
AI prediction
Napoli to win
Win probability: 68% · fair odds 1.47

Napoli vs Lecce Prediction

Our statistical model tips Napoli to win in Italian Serie A on Saturday, 05 December 2026, giving Napoli a 68% win chance, the draw 21% and Lecce 11%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with projected expected goals of 1.89-0.62. Over 2.5 goals is rated 46% and both teams to score 39%. Napoli come in on DLLWD form, Lecce on DLLLW.

Match result probability (1X2)

68%
21%
11%
Napoli win Draw Lecce win

Key predictions

1-0
Likely score (16%)
1.89–0.62
Expected goals
46%
Over 2.5 goals
39%
Both teams score

Form & ratings

Napoli
DLLWD
Attack Strong · Defence Elite
Scored 9 · Conceded 11
vs
Lecce
DLLLW
Attack Weak · Defence Average
Scored 6 · Conceded 10

Most likely scorelines

  • 1-016%
  • 2-014%
  • 1-19%

Head-to-head

12 Napoli 4 Draws 2 Lecce
67%
22%
11%
These two have met 18 times.

Italian Serie A Standings

#TeamPWDLGDPts
10Napoli11434+415
14Lecce11317-1010

More on this matchup

Napoli vs Lecce — prediction FAQ

Who will win Napoli vs Lecce?

Our model makes Napoli the pick, with 68% for Napoli, 21% for the draw and 11% for Lecce.

What is the predicted score for Napoli vs Lecce?

The most likely scoreline is 1-0 (16%), from projected expected goals of 1.89-0.62.

Will both teams score in Napoli vs Lecce?

Both teams to score is rated 39% likely, and over 2.5 goals 46%.

What is the head-to-head record for Napoli vs Lecce?

In 18 previous meetings, Napoli have won 12, Lecce 2, and 4 ended level.

Where do Napoli and Lecce sit in the Italian Serie A table?

Napoli are 10th with 15 points and Lecce are 14th with 10 points.

How this prediction is made →

Predictions are generated by SportScore's statistical model for information and entertainment only — not betting advice. 18+.