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English Premier League · Saturday, 21 November 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Chelsea Chelsea
vs
Leeds United Leeds United
AI prediction
Chelsea to win
Win probability: 47% · fair odds 2.13

Chelsea vs Leeds United Prediction

Our statistical model tips Chelsea to win in English Premier League on Saturday, 21 November 2026, giving Chelsea a 47% win chance, the draw 27% and Leeds United 26%. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with projected expected goals of 1.56-1.11. Over 2.5 goals is rated 50% and both teams to score 54%. Chelsea come in on LWDLW form, Leeds United on WLDDL.

Match result probability (1X2)

47%
27%
26%
Chelsea win Draw Leeds United win

Key predictions

1-1
Likely score (13%)
1.56–1.11
Expected goals
50%
Over 2.5 goals
54%
Both teams score

Form & ratings

Chelsea
LWDLW
Attack Elite · Defence Average
Scored 5 · Conceded 4
vs
Leeds United
WLDDL
Attack Average · Defence Elite
Scored 3 · Conceded 5

Most likely scorelines

  • 1-113%
  • 1-010%
  • 2-19%

Head-to-head

12 Chelsea 8 Draws 8 Leeds United
43%
29%
28%
These two have met 28 times.

English Premier League Standings

#TeamPWDLGDPts
5Chelsea10514+316
9Leeds United10352+214

More on this matchup

Chelsea vs Leeds United — prediction FAQ

Who will win Chelsea vs Leeds United?

Our model makes Chelsea the pick, with 47% for Chelsea, 27% for the draw and 26% for Leeds United.

What is the predicted score for Chelsea vs Leeds United?

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%), from projected expected goals of 1.56-1.11.

Will both teams score in Chelsea vs Leeds United?

Both teams to score is rated 54% likely, and over 2.5 goals 50%.

What is the head-to-head record for Chelsea vs Leeds United?

In 28 previous meetings, Chelsea have won 12, Leeds United 8, and 8 ended level.

Where do Chelsea and Leeds United sit in the English Premier League table?

Chelsea are 5th with 16 points and Leeds United are 9th with 14 points.

How this prediction is made →

Predictions are generated by SportScore's statistical model for information and entertainment only — not betting advice. 18+.