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French Ligue 1 · Sunday, 22 November 2026 · 19:45 UTC
Marseille Marseille
vs
Le Mans Le Mans
AI prediction
Marseille to winStrong pick
Win probability: 73% · fair odds 1.37

Marseille vs Le Mans Prediction

Our statistical model tips Marseille to win in French Ligue 1 on Sunday, 22 November 2026, giving Marseille a 73% win chance, the draw 16% and Le Mans 11%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with projected expected goals of 2.75-1.04. Over 2.5 goals is rated 73% and both teams to score 61%. Marseille come in on WWWWL form, Le Mans on DLDLL.

Match result probability (1X2)

73%
16%
11%
Marseille win Draw Le Mans win

Key predictions

2-1
Likely score (9%)
2.75–1.04
Expected goals
73%
Over 2.5 goals
61%
Both teams score

Form & ratings

Marseille
WWWWL
Attack Elite · Defence Strong
Scored 9 · Conceded 5
vs
Le Mans
DLDLL
Attack Average · Defence Weak
Scored 3 · Conceded 10

Most likely scorelines

  • 2-19%
  • 2-09%
  • 3-18%

Head-to-head

5 Marseille 6 Draws 2 Le Mans
38%
46%
16%
These two have met 13 times.

French Ligue 1 Standings

#TeamPWDLGDPts
4Marseille10604+818
15Le Mans10154-78

More on this matchup

Marseille vs Le Mans — prediction FAQ

Who will win Marseille vs Le Mans?

Our model makes Marseille the pick, with 73% for Marseille, 16% for the draw and 11% for Le Mans.

What is the predicted score for Marseille vs Le Mans?

The most likely scoreline is 2-1 (9%), from projected expected goals of 2.75-1.04.

Will both teams score in Marseille vs Le Mans?

Both teams to score is rated 61% likely, and over 2.5 goals 73%.

What is the head-to-head record for Marseille vs Le Mans?

In 13 previous meetings, Marseille have won 5, Le Mans 2, and 6 ended level.

Where do Marseille and Le Mans sit in the French Ligue 1 table?

Marseille are 4th with 18 points and Le Mans are 15th with 8 points.

Predictions are generated by SportScore's statistical model for information and entertainment only — not betting advice. 18+.