Skip to main content
Italian Serie A · Monday, 23 November 2026 · 19:45 UTC
Monza Monza
vs
Fiorentina Fiorentina
AI prediction
Fiorentina to win
Win probability: 51% · fair odds 1.97

Monza vs Fiorentina Prediction

Our statistical model tips Fiorentina to win in Italian Serie A on Monday, 23 November 2026, giving Monza a 28% win chance, the draw 21% and Fiorentina 51%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with projected expected goals of 1.45-2.02. Over 2.5 goals is rated 67% and both teams to score 66%. Monza come in on LLLLW form, Fiorentina on DWDLL.

Match result probability (1X2)

28%
21%
51%
Monza win Draw Fiorentina win

Key predictions

1-2
Likely score (9%)
1.45–2.02
Expected goals
67%
Over 2.5 goals
66%
Both teams score

Form & ratings

Monza
LLLLW
Attack Average · Defence Weak
Scored 8 · Conceded 10
vs
Fiorentina
DWDLL
Attack Strong · Defence Average
Scored 10 · Conceded 11

Most likely scorelines

  • 1-29%
  • 1-19%
  • 2-27%

Head-to-head

2 Monza 2 Draws 3 Fiorentina
29%
29%
42%
These two have met 7 times.

Italian Serie A Standings

#TeamPWDLGDPts
18Monza11218-87
15Fiorentina11236-89

More on this matchup

Monza vs Fiorentina — prediction FAQ

Who will win Monza vs Fiorentina?

Our model makes Fiorentina the pick, with 28% for Monza, 21% for the draw and 51% for Fiorentina.

What is the predicted score for Monza vs Fiorentina?

The most likely scoreline is 1-2 (9%), from projected expected goals of 1.45-2.02.

Will both teams score in Monza vs Fiorentina?

Both teams to score is rated 66% likely, and over 2.5 goals 67%.

What is the head-to-head record for Monza vs Fiorentina?

In 7 previous meetings, Monza have won 2, Fiorentina 3, and 2 ended level.

Where do Monza and Fiorentina sit in the Italian Serie A table?

Monza are 18th with 7 points and Fiorentina are 15th with 9 points.

Predictions are generated by SportScore's statistical model for information and entertainment only — not betting advice. 18+.