Southampton
Derby County
Southampton vs Derby County Prediction
Our statistical model tips Southampton to win in English Football League Championship on Saturday, 21 November 2026, giving Southampton a 69% win chance, the draw 19% and Derby County 12%. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, with projected expected goals of 2.26-0.86. Over 2.5 goals is rated 60% and both teams to score 52%. Southampton come in on LDWWD form, Derby County on WLLDL.
Match result probability (1X2)
Key predictions
Form & ratings
Most likely scorelines
- 2-011%
- 2-110%
- 1-010%
Head-to-head
- 11 Apr 2026 Southampton 2–1 Derby County
- 04 Oct 2025 Derby County 1–1 Southampton
- 16 Jan 2019 Southampton 2–2 Derby County
- 05 Jan 2019 Derby County 2–2 Southampton
- 21 Jul 2018 Derby County 0–0 Southampton
English Football League Championship Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Southampton | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | +14 | 28 |
| 23 | Derby County | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -16 | 10 |
Southampton vs Derby County — prediction FAQ
Who will win Southampton vs Derby County?
Our model makes Southampton the pick, with 69% for Southampton, 19% for the draw and 12% for Derby County.
What is the predicted score for Southampton vs Derby County?
The most likely scoreline is 2-0 (11%), from projected expected goals of 2.26-0.86.
Will both teams score in Southampton vs Derby County?
Both teams to score is rated 52% likely, and over 2.5 goals 60%.
What is the head-to-head record for Southampton vs Derby County?
In 27 previous meetings, Southampton have won 7, Derby County 8, and 12 ended level.
Where do Southampton and Derby County sit in the English Football League Championship table?
Southampton are 4th with 28 points and Derby County are 23rd with 10 points.
Predictions are generated by SportScore's statistical model for information and entertainment only — not betting advice. 18+.