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Netherlands Eredivisie · Saturday, 05 December 2026 · 19:00 UTC
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
vs
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven
AI prediction
PSV Eindhoven to win
Win probability: 55% · fair odds 1.81

AZ Alkmaar vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction

Our statistical model tips PSV Eindhoven to win in Netherlands Eredivisie on Saturday, 05 December 2026, giving AZ Alkmaar a 24% win chance, the draw 21% and PSV Eindhoven 55%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with projected expected goals of 1.48-2.3. Over 2.5 goals is rated 73% and both teams to score 70%. AZ Alkmaar come in on WLLLW form, PSV Eindhoven on WLWDW.

Match result probability (1X2)

24%
21%
55%
AZ Alkmaar win Draw PSV Eindhoven win

Key predictions

1-2
Likely score (9%)
1.48–2.3
Expected goals
73%
Over 2.5 goals
70%
Both teams score

Form & ratings

AZ Alkmaar
WLLLW
Attack Strong · Defence Strong
Scored 9 · Conceded 8
vs
PSV Eindhoven
WLWDW
Attack Elite · Defence Elite
Scored 15 · Conceded 5

Most likely scorelines

  • 1-29%
  • 1-18%
  • 1-37%

Head-to-head

13 AZ Alkmaar 6 Draws 29 PSV Eindhoven
27%
12%
61%
These two have met 48 times.

Netherlands Eredivisie Standings

#TeamPWDLGDPts
5AZ Alkmaar12723+823
1PSV Eindhoven12822+2526

More on this matchup

AZ Alkmaar vs PSV Eindhoven — prediction FAQ

Who will win AZ Alkmaar vs PSV Eindhoven?

Our model makes PSV Eindhoven the pick, with 24% for AZ Alkmaar, 21% for the draw and 55% for PSV Eindhoven.

What is the predicted score for AZ Alkmaar vs PSV Eindhoven?

The most likely scoreline is 1-2 (9%), from projected expected goals of 1.48-2.3.

Will both teams score in AZ Alkmaar vs PSV Eindhoven?

Both teams to score is rated 70% likely, and over 2.5 goals 73%.

What is the head-to-head record for AZ Alkmaar vs PSV Eindhoven?

In 48 previous meetings, AZ Alkmaar have won 13, PSV Eindhoven 29, and 6 ended level.

Where do AZ Alkmaar and PSV Eindhoven sit in the Netherlands Eredivisie table?

AZ Alkmaar are 5th with 23 points and PSV Eindhoven are 1st with 26 points.

How this prediction is made →

Predictions are generated by SportScore's statistical model for information and entertainment only — not betting advice. 18+.