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Bundesliga · Saturday, 05 December 2026 · 14:30 UTC
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
vs
1. FSV Mainz 05 1. FSV Mainz 05
AI prediction
RB Leipzig to win
Win probability: 65% · fair odds 1.53

RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 Prediction

Our statistical model tips RB Leipzig to win in Bundesliga on Saturday, 05 December 2026, giving RB Leipzig a 65% win chance, the draw 18% and 1. FSV Mainz 05 17%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with projected expected goals of 2.49-1.2. Over 2.5 goals is rated 71% and both teams to score 64%. RB Leipzig come in on WLWWW form, 1. FSV Mainz 05 on LLLLW.

Match result probability (1X2)

65%
18%
17%
RB Leipzig win Draw 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Key predictions

2-1
Likely score (9%)
2.49–1.2
Expected goals
71%
Over 2.5 goals
64%
Both teams score

Form & ratings

RB Leipzig
WLWWW
Attack Elite · Defence Elite
Scored 15 · Conceded 6
vs
1. FSV Mainz 05
LLLLW
Attack Strong · Defence Average
Scored 5 · Conceded 11

Most likely scorelines

  • 2-19%
  • 2-08%
  • 3-18%

Head-to-head

9 RB Leipzig 4 Draws 7 1. FSV Mainz 05
45%
20%
35%
These two have met 20 times.

Bundesliga Standings

#TeamPWDLGDPts
4RB Leipzig9603+1418
121. FSV Mainz 059315-110

More on this matchup

RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — prediction FAQ

Who will win RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05?

Our model makes RB Leipzig the pick, with 65% for RB Leipzig, 18% for the draw and 17% for 1. FSV Mainz 05.

What is the predicted score for RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05?

The most likely scoreline is 2-1 (9%), from projected expected goals of 2.49-1.2.

Will both teams score in RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05?

Both teams to score is rated 64% likely, and over 2.5 goals 71%.

What is the head-to-head record for RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05?

In 20 previous meetings, RB Leipzig have won 9, 1. FSV Mainz 05 7, and 4 ended level.

Where do RB Leipzig and 1. FSV Mainz 05 sit in the Bundesliga table?

RB Leipzig are 4th with 18 points and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 12th with 10 points.

Predictions are generated by SportScore's statistical model for information and entertainment only — not betting advice. 18+.